Perhaps, Some Day, There Will Be a Carbon Tax

There are few people left, at least in my orbit, who don’t share the goal of prompt decarbonization of the economy.  The quaintly named $64,000 question ($64 trillion question?) is how we get from here to there.

Today, the New England Power Generators Association released a report prepared by Analysis Group that explains how an economy-wide price on carbon can help New England do just that.  (Full disclosure:  Foley Hoag has done work for NEPGA and my wife works at Analysis Group, though not on this project.)

As a long-time carbon tax supporter, I did not need to be sold, but the report still has some important conclusions.

  • A carbon price of $25-35/ton in 2025 and $55-70/ton in 2030-35 would be sufficient to put us on a path to meet our GHG reduction targets.
  • Electrification will reduce household energy costs such that, even including the price on carbon, such costs will be lower in 2035 than without electrification.
  • The only means to get on a pathway towards attaining region-wide carbon reduction goals is to combine “high electrification” with carbon pricing.
  • Existing fossil fuel generators will still be necessary for “at least the next one to two decades” for load management.

So, the way to get to a decarbonized economy in New England is to price carbon.  We still have to answer one more question:  how do we build sufficient support for pricing carbon that it becomes a political reality?

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